- The current bitcoin market is significantly different from that of 2022.
- Analyst Garrett Jin notes that while price fluctuations may seem familiar, the overall market structure has changed.
- In 2022, investors were withdrawing from risk, leading to tightened liquidity and defensive asset behaviors.
Why Today’s bitcoin market Isn’t the Same bitcoin market
Bitcoin’s current landscape barely resembles what traders saw in 2022. Analyst Garrett Jin, from the group “BTC OG Insider Whale,” argues that short-term price dips and spikes may look familiar, but the broader structure has changed. In 2022, global investors were fleeing risk, liquidity was tightening, and macro conditions pushed assets into defensive mode. Now, U.S. liquidity has punched above major downtrend barriers, hinting at the start of a fresh upward cycle.
During 2021–2022, Bitcoin traced a weekly M-top that historically locks prices into long and painful drawdowns. Today, price action is breaking out of a rising channel, which Jin interprets as a likely bear trap rather than the birth of a new structural decline. Although a bearish reversal is still possible, the heavy trading between $80,850 and $62,000 has balanced risk and reward, with upside probabilities currently outweighing downside threats.
For a true bear market to return, inflation shocks, geopolitical turmoil, and renewed central bank tightening would all need to hit at once — none of which are in play at the moment. Perhaps the most notable shift is in who owns Bitcoin: the old retail-driven, leverage-heavy cycle has been replaced by slow-moving institutional holders, creating steadier demand and less frantic selling.
Disclaimer: CryptopianNews shares this for learning and info only. It’s not meant to be financial or investment advice. Crypto markets change a lot and move quickly. Investing in them can be risky. You should always look into things yourself. Talk to a trained financial advisor before making any choices about investing.
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